"Delegates are assigned according to how people voted." is a common misconception about the primary delegate selection process.
In some states, yes, that is true. In others, it's a bunch of crap. I keep seeing Ron Paul's delegate counts on various main stream media station that have it all wrong. Fox has it at 23 and CNN has it at about 30. These numbers are completely inaccurate and show that the main stream media doesn't have a clue about how to calculate delegate counts.
Even though we didn't win the straw poll vote, Ron Paul is probably getting most of the delegates from IA, MN, CO, MA, and WA. In NV, they can vote to unbind the delegates are the state convention, so there is a possibility he could get most of those as well. There is also a strong possibility that he could pick up quite a few from WY.
In IA there are 28 possible delegates. It sounds like the organization was good, so Ron Paul could get around 20..
In NH, there are 10 possible BOUND delegates, Ron Paul got 3. Huntsman got 1. Since he dropped out that delegate is UNBOUND. We may get that one. NH has BOUND delegates, so the only way Ron Paul could get some of these is if it goes to a brokered convention and there are multiple rounds of voting..
In SC, Ron Paul didn't get any delegates. Grinch got 23 BOUND delegates. If Grinch drops out soon they become UNBOUND. If Ron Paul supporters are organized they could end up picking up some/most of them.
In FL, Ron Paul didn't get any and probably wont unless this goes to a brokered convention and there are multiple rounds of voting. In this case, they become UNBOUND and can vote for whoever they want.
In NV, we got 5 BOUND delegates, but most of the delegates that got selected are Ron Paul supporters. There is a possibility that these selected delegates can vote to change the rules at the state convention to UNBIND all delegates. In this case Ron Paul could pick up most of the delegates. NV has 28 BOUND delegates. If they become UNBOUND at the state convention, Ron Paul would probably have at least 15 of them.
In CO, it sounds like Ron Paul got about 50% of the UNBOUND delegates. So Ron Paul will probably have 18 of the 36. If Santorum drops out, Ron Paul could get a few more.
In MN, is sounds like Ron Paul got over 75% of the delegates. So we'll probably get 30 of the 40 UNBOUND delegates.
In Maine, Ron Paul will probably get 75% of the delegates. So Ron Paul will probably get 18 of the 24 UNBOUND delegates.
AZ is winner take all with BOUND delegates. Ron Paul probably won't get any because Romney won the state. However, if this goes to a brokered convention and the delegates become UNBOUND Ron Paul could get some of them if his supporters were organized.
In Michigan, Ron Paul didn't get any delegates, but there is a possibility that Ron Paul could pick up the delegates that become UNBOUND if Santorum drops out. Santorum got 14 delegates. If it goes to a brokered convention Ron Paul could even pick up some of Romney's delegates.
In WY, Ron Paul got at least 6 of the 29 possible delegates. However, since this is a state with UNBOUND delegates, Ron Paul will most likely get more like 14.
In WA, there are 40 UNBOUND delegates. Based on ground reports, Ron Paul will probably get most of the delegates. Let's say he gets 25.
So if no one drops out, a fairly accurate estimate of Ron Paul's delegate count is: IA (20) + NH (3) + SC (0) + FL (0) + NV(15) + CO(18) + MN(30) + ME(18) + MI (0) + AZ(0) + WY(14) + WA(25) = 143
If BOTH Gingrich and Santorum drop out and Ron Paul supporters are organized in becoming delegates (delegates become UNBOUND when the candidate they are BOUND to drops out), the delegate count would look something like this: IA (20) + NH (3) + SC (15/23) + FL (0) + NV(20) + CO(18) + MN(30) + ME(18) + MI (10) + AZ(0) + WY(14) + WA(25) = 173
Of course these are just estimates, no one will know the exact count until the delegate selection process is complete. Each state has a different delegate selection process with different timelines, so the final delegate count won't be known for quite some time.If this goes to a brokered convention and all delegates become UNBOUND, Ron Paul could also get a lot of Romney's currently BOUND delegates.
CHECK BACK SOON FOR UPDATES ON THE OTHER STATES
Reality Check: What are the "real" republican delegate counts?